"It's done when it's done". While truer words were never spoken, sometimes the fast pace of life can get in the way of your 'que planning. While I'm not opposed to eating a few hours early or late every once in a while, I just can't deal with it when guests are invited.
I'd like to gather some data from as many people as possible in order to come up with a regression equation that estimates butt cook time...I'll run it through my stats PhD woman-friend and be able to tell you how accurate it is.
Interested? To contribute, let me know the following for as many butts as you have data available:
1) Butt weight
2) Temp you set the smoker
3) Outside Temp
4) Internal temp you cooked to
5) How many times did you open the door? (you know you've done it before!)
6) How long did you let the butt sit at room temp before putting in the smoker?
7) Did you preheat the smoker?
8) Type of smoker
9) How long did it take?
*if you do the same things each time, feel free to consolidate if you have data from multiple butts*
I know this is a pain, but if we can get an equation that is accurate within half an hour or so across a broad range of variables, it would be a great tool!
I'll start it off:
5.05lb butt, set to 250, 75 outside, cooked to 176, opened the door 3 times (remote thermometer was broken!), 30 minutes at room temp, no preheat, smokette, took 11 hrs.
We probably need 50-75 butts worth of data to make this work - if everyone gives data for one or 2, it will be a piece of cake!